BlowMe@lemmy.world to No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 7 days agoIs there any real physical proof that Jesus christ ever existed?message-squaremessage-square393fedilinkarrow-up11arrow-down10
arrow-up11arrow-down1message-squareIs there any real physical proof that Jesus christ ever existed?BlowMe@lemmy.world to No Stupid Questions@lemmy.world · 7 days agomessage-square393fedilink
minus-squarefine_sandy_bottom@discuss.tchncs.delinkfedilinkarrow-up0·6 days agoWe might not be able to calculate the probability but we can conclude that the chances that this tomb is that of Jesus is infinitesimal.
minus-squaredudinax@programming.devlinkfedilinkarrow-up0·6 days agoIf you can’t calculate the probability, then you can’t rationally reach the conclusion that the probability is very low.
minus-squarefine_sandy_bottom@discuss.tchncs.delinkfedilinkarrow-up0·6 days agoOf course you can. I’m unable to calculate the probability that the moon will fall out of the sky tonight but I know that the probability is very low.
minus-squaredudinax@programming.devlinkfedilinkarrow-up0·5 days agoYou can make the simple inductive calculation that the probability is 1 / (total number of nights moon didn’t fall out of sky). You can also look at the total energy needed to de-orbit the moon and come up with a frequencie for events at least of that magnitude. They are easy calculations and they both give infinitesimal results. If that weren’t true, there’d be no way to tell if your intuition were correct.
minus-squarefine_sandy_bottom@discuss.tchncs.delinkfedilinkarrow-up0·5 days agoIf you’re happy with this type of calculation then the probability that this tomb is that of biblical Jesus is (number of occupants) / (number of humans in that area at the time the tomb was built).
minus-squaredudinax@programming.devlinkfedilinkarrow-up0·5 days agoThat’s way too low since several of the names match.
We might not be able to calculate the probability but we can conclude that the chances that this tomb is that of Jesus is infinitesimal.
If you can’t calculate the probability, then you can’t rationally reach the conclusion that the probability is very low.
Of course you can.
I’m unable to calculate the probability that the moon will fall out of the sky tonight but I know that the probability is very low.
You can make the simple inductive calculation that the probability is 1 / (total number of nights moon didn’t fall out of sky).
You can also look at the total energy needed to de-orbit the moon and come up with a frequencie for events at least of that magnitude.
They are easy calculations and they both give infinitesimal results. If that weren’t true, there’d be no way to tell if your intuition were correct.
If you’re happy with this type of calculation then the probability that this tomb is that of biblical Jesus is (number of occupants) / (number of humans in that area at the time the tomb was built).
That’s way too low since several of the names match.