With a high likelihood a pandemic is unavoidable considering how widespread eg. H5N1 is in animal populations, and it’s just a question of “when” not “if” – and it’ll probably kill a lot of people. Infection fatality rates are hard to predict, but for H5N1 I’ve seen estimates along the lines of 1 – 10%, with most probable being something in the range 1 – 3%. IFR should not be confused with the current case fatality rate which is around 50%. Those are just the bad cases that we know of and who end up in hospital, but the number of infections is probably higher.
The only good thing about it is that reich-wingers are less likely to get a vaccine, meaning they’ll be more likely to die. Also doing idiotic shit like drinking raw milk from infected cows will mean more fatalities. Yes, it increases the chances of a mutation that’ll enable human-to-human transmission, but as I said that’s going to happen sooner or later anyhow.
I’m okay with that part, but the flu virus mutating inside them and spreading to non-idiots is what worries me.
Well, at least there’s a vaccine.
With a high likelihood a pandemic is unavoidable considering how widespread eg. H5N1 is in animal populations, and it’s just a question of “when” not “if” – and it’ll probably kill a lot of people. Infection fatality rates are hard to predict, but for H5N1 I’ve seen estimates along the lines of 1 – 10%, with most probable being something in the range 1 – 3%. IFR should not be confused with the current case fatality rate which is around 50%. Those are just the bad cases that we know of and who end up in hospital, but the number of infections is probably higher.
The only good thing about it is that reich-wingers are less likely to get a vaccine, meaning they’ll be more likely to die. Also doing idiotic shit like drinking raw milk from infected cows will mean more fatalities. Yes, it increases the chances of a mutation that’ll enable human-to-human transmission, but as I said that’s going to happen sooner or later anyhow.